I have to say that I understand the reasons why so many people may seem interested in trading the megadroid trading system. The system seems to have a wealth of both backtesting and live testing information provided by the author with a significant amount of third party tests which shows the expert to be profitable amongst time periods of at least 6 months on different brokers on live accounts. What is so wrong with megadroid then that compelled me to write this post ? Several things.
To start from the beginning, the information provided by the author is not confirmed by any third party and there have always been rumors about the author omitting loses from the statements, clearly we cannot trust the live account results of an EA seller without investor access or true third party confirmation such as that provided by myfxbook. There also seems to be significant discrepancies between simulations and live trading results (over longer periods of testing) which are definitely a result of one minute interpolation errors. Periods of 6 months of live testing compared to simulations show disparity related to the number of profitable and losing trades and great broker dependency between different tests, it then becomes evident that megadroid may be exposed to a much higher draw down than that predicted by backtesting results.
However the thing that worries me the most is the fact that the Megadroid expert advisor is a hidden Martingale. The EA loses with little frequency (which is needed even for break even results due to the very unfavorable risk to reward ratio of the trading system) but it doubles its lot size when it hits its big stoploss. The fact is that if you hit a series of consecutive loses of even as little as 3 or 4 loses, you could lose your entire account. Megadroid is a very risky trading system and it always exposes a VERY significant amount of capital 10-20% on every trade. Add a martingale to that and you have a time bomb.
To me, the current state of the megadroid expert advisor is like that of a Ponzi scheme when it gains popularity. Everyone is happy, many people are making money and finally the cash flow is so huge that the Ponzi scheme becomes unsustainable and the inevitable total loses of capital happen. Megadroid may remain profitable for more time, but the truth is that the system’s market exposure is simply absurd, its a hidden martingale, a wolf in sheep clothing andI have absolutely no doubt that it WILL show its true colors as time passes by.
I hope that my arguments have been strong enough to convince those willing to listen to third party arguments to NOT trade this trading system as its trading tactics are simply unsound and its money management is simply against everything experienced traders would ever do. As I said on the beginning of this post, for those looking for long term profitability there is always Wautukushay FE. If you are however interested in a true understanding of the development of long term profitable system with sound trading tactics so that you can design and trade your own long term profitable systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !